Oil prices
hit a 3.5-year high Wednesday after President Donald Trump pulled the US out of
the Iran nuclear deal.
West Texas
Intermediate crude oil touched $71.17 a barrel.
The US
dollar is trading at its best level of 2018.
(Reuters) -
Crude oil prices jumped back to 3-1/2-year highs on Wednesday after President
Donald Trump pulled the United States out of an international nuclear deal with
Iran, while the dollar continued its tireless ascent and world stocks held
steady.
Trump's move
sparked worries about fresh tension in the Middle East and uncertainty over
globaloil supplies. [O/R]
Demand for
safe-haven assets remained limited, however, as the price of gold retreated and
bond yields rose. The U.S. 10-year Treasury breached the key 3 percent level
once more and was last at 3.0080 percent, a two-week high, supported by
expectations of higher interest rates.
Caroline
Simmons, deputy head of the UK chief investment office at UBS Wealth
Management, said that while generally central banks tend to look through the
oil price in terms of its impact on inflation, it is still of note to market
watchers.
"In an
environment where the Fed, particularly, is already at its inflation target and
people are closely watching the pace of the monetary tightening, something like
this which could possibly nudge inflation a little bit higher is going to be
quite interesting for the market," Simmons said.
"That's
why you're seeing the yields go up a little bit on the bonds."
The impact
of Trump's decision remained broadly limited to oil markets and energy-related
stocks. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures hit their highest level
since November 2014 at $71.17 per barrel, up 2.8 percent.
Brent crude
futures jumped as much as 2.8 percent to a 3-1/2-year high of $77.20.
"There
is still an interim period before sanctions kick in. And other signatories and
Iran want to keep the deal going so there is a period where things could be
hammered out," said Benjamin Schroeder, rates strategist at ING.
"But I
would have expected a bit of a safe-haven bid this morning," he added,
referring to bonds.
The MSCI
world equity index <.MIWD00000PUS>, which tracks shares in 47 countries,
was flat in percentage terms and continued to trade in a narrow range. The
pan-European STOXX 600 <.STOXX> meanwhile rose 0.2 percent as oil majors
gained and earnings from Siemens and Imperial Brands dominated the market
action.
"In the
very short term, it looks as if the impact of heightened geopolitical worries
was limited to oilmarkets. But that is not the end of the story," said
Norihiro Fujito, senior investment strategist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley
Securities.
"U.S.
sanctions could affect various industries. And tensions between Iran and Israel
look set to intensify. Those will begin to cap share prices," he added.
The reaction
in Asian markets was more pronounced as renewed U.S. sanctions on Tehran were
seen as disruptive for many companies that have deals with Iran. Trump's move
is also seen as likely to worsen already-tense relations between Iran and U.S.
allies in the region.
MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan <.MIAPJ0000PUS> was
flat, while Japan's Nikkei <.N225> fell 0.4 percent.
Iran, the
third-biggest producer among the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries, produces about 3.8 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 4 percent
of the world's oil supplies.
The U.S.
Treasury said it will reimpose a wide array of Iran-related sanctions after the
expiry of 90- and 180-day wind-down periods, including those aimed at Iran's
oil sector and transactions with its central bank.
DOLLAR
STEAMS AHEAD
The rise in
Treasury yields helped fuel the dollar's rally, with the greenback trading at a
fresh high for 2018.
The dollar's
index against a basket of major currencies <.DXY> was last up at 93.264,
and has risen 1.2 percent so far this year.
Souring risk
sentiment is hitting emerging markets, which have been clobbered in recent
weeks by concerns about capital outflows, as the prospect of higher U.S.
interest rates lures investors back to U.S. bonds rather than riskier assets.
Countries
with high perceived political risks, such as Brazil and Turkey, were among the
worst hit.
The
Brazilian real hit a near two-year low and the Turkish lira reached a record
low. Since the start of this week, those currencies are both down around 1
percent.
The Indonesian
rupiah hit a 2-1/2-year low , and has slid 1 percent this week.
Among major
currencies, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar hit an 11-month low of
$0.74130 and last stood at $0.74315 .
The euro
continued to slide to a fresh 4-1/2-month low of $1.1821 and last stood at
$1.1841 , having declined more than 4 percent in the past three weeks.
The currency
was hit by increasing prospects of another election in Italy as the political
impasse there has continued since early March's inconclusive ballot.
The British
pound stood at $1.3538, near a four-month low of $1.3482 touched on Tuesday.
The dollar
rose 0.5 percent to 109.70 yen , edging near its three-month high of 110.02 yen
touched last week.
(Reporting
by Kit Rees, Additional reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe in London and Hideyuki
Sano in Tokyo; Editing by Catherine Evans)
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